- The 2025 Ablekuma North Rerun Election results start coming in.
- NDC’s Ewurabena Aubynn Leading Amid Low Turnout and Violence
The 2025 Ablekuma North rerun election has concluded, with preliminary polling station results favoring the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Ewurabena Aubynn. However, it is still too early to declare a final winner.
The election recorded a low voter turnout, compounded by incidents of violence at several polling stations on election day. Voter turnout is not expected to exceed 40%.
In total, just over 6,000 voters were expected to cast their ballots across 19 polling stations in the Ablekuma North constituency.
Although voting commenced peacefully at 7 a.m., chaos soon erupted. The situation quickly escalated into vandalism, open street fights, and clashes between rival supporters after some polling stations were invaded. Video footage of these skirmishes shows journalists being assaulted by protestors. A police officer was also captured on camera slapping a cameraman from one of the media houses covering the rerun election.
The Ablekuma North constituency has been without parliamentary representation in the 9th Parliament since the December 7, 2024 general elections. This followed disputes and irregularities in results from select polling stations.
Both the National Democratic Congress (NDC) and the New Patriotic Party (NPP) challenged parts of the initial results, each claiming victory and raising concerns over missing or unverifiable pink sheets from sections of the constituency.
Below are some results so far from the Ablekuma North rerun Results
Methodist Church – Odokor 1 (Tsuimami)
Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie (NPP) – 77 Votes
Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) – 130 Votes
Methodist Church – Odokor 4 (Tsuimami)
Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie (NPP) – 31 Votes
Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) – 37 Votes
Church of Pentocost – Odokor North 4 (Tsuimami)
Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie (NPP) – 21 Votes
Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) – 38 Votes
God First International School 1 -Nyamekey
Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie (NPP) – 108Votes
Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) – 100 Votes
the Lords Pentecostal Church -Kwashie Bu
Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie (NPP) – 106 Votes
Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) – 147 Votes
The results you provided are from a contest between Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie of the NPP and Ewurabena Aubynn of the NDC.
Ablekuma North Election Results Table
Here is the table showing the results from the five polling stations you provided:
Current Leader
After accounting for the votes from these five polling stations and the initial 48-vote lead, the candidate currently leading is: Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) by 61 votes.
Trend Analysis and Projection
With results from 5 of the 19 expected polling stations now known, we can analyze the trend to project a likely winner.
- The Trend: In the results provided, Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) won 4 out of the 5 polling stations, securing 452 votes to Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie’s 343. This means that from a starting deficit (due to the prior lead), the NDC candidate has established an average lead of 21.8 votes per station in this batch of results (109 vote lead / 5 stations).
- Projection for Remaining Stations: There are 14 polling stations yet to report (19 total – 5 reported). If this trend continues, Ewurabena Aubynn would be expected to win the majority of the remaining stations and continue to expand her lead. Likely Winner: Per the trend so far, Ewurabena Aubynn (NDC) is likely to win the election.
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Margin to Chance: The margin to chance that Ewurabena Aubynn will win is high. For Nana Akua Owusu Afriyie to win, she would need to reverse the current trend dramatically in the final 14 polling stations, winning them by a significant margin to overcome her current 61-vote deficit. The data from the first five stations suggests this is unlikely.
Great analysis.
Thanks for appreciating this effort.